Thursday, September 29, 2005

Special turnout models and the PPIC poll

With the Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC) poll showing 40 percent of likely voters believe the special election is a good idea and 53 percent say it is a bad idea, how does the no on 73 to 78 crowd get their side to the polls?

Does anyone else see the inherent contradiction?

How do you motivate someone with: We hate the special election, think it’s a bad idea, but we really, really want you to vote anyway?

If half of those who say the special election is a bad idea stay home, won’t we win a landslide?